A simple 3-state Markov chain.
Rendering
\usetikzlibrary{automata, positioning}\begin{tikzpicture}[shorten >=1pt, node distance=2.5cm, on grid, auto]
\node[state] (A) {$A$};
\node[state] (B) [right=of A] {$B$};
\node[state] (C) [right=of B] {$C$};
\path[->]
(A) edge[loop above] node{0.5} ()
edge[bend left] node{0.5} (B)
(B) edge[bend left] node{0.3} (A)
edge[bend left] node{0.7} (C)
(C) edge[loop above] node{0.2} ()
edge[bend left] node{0.8} (B);
\end{tikzpicture}